Recent observational data from the Incheon weather station, the official reference for Seoul temperatures, combined with short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather, indicate a minimum near 26°C overnight into August 1. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region, where overnight lows commonly range 23–26°C amid high humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Strong market consensus at 97.5% reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station readings. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unseasonal cold-air advection that none of the current guidance supports, though minor measurement revisions remain possible before final daily-low certification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日首爾(仁川)最低溫度?
26°C 98%
25°C 3%
27°C <1%
22°C或以下 <1%
$14,428 交易量
$14,428 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
98%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 98%
25°C 3%
27°C <1%
22°C或以下 <1%
$14,428 交易量
$14,428 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
98%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent observational data from the Incheon weather station, the official reference for Seoul temperatures, combined with short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather, indicate a minimum near 26°C overnight into August 1. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region, where overnight lows commonly range 23–26°C amid high humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Strong market consensus at 97.5% reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station readings. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unseasonal cold-air advection that none of the current guidance supports, though minor measurement revisions remain possible before final daily-low certification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions