Recent record-breaking heat across southeastern South Korea, including Busan’s 38.8°C peak on July 29 that shattered a 122-year mark, has sustained trader focus on whether August 1 exceeds or matches that level under the lingering North Pacific High. Official Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave warnings and AccuWeather guidance point to a peak near 38–39°C today, with model consensus on subsidence warming, minimal cloud cover, and light winds limiting mixing. Differentiation among 38°C, 39°C, and 40°C hinges on the precise timing of maximum insolation versus any late-day sea-breeze moderation or urban heat-island amplification in coastal Busan, alongside minor forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C underscore how anomalous persistence of these conditions keeps the top three brackets closely contested.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日釜山的最高溫度?
39°C 36%
38°C 28%
40°C 22%
37°C 13%
$42,348 交易量
$42,348 交易量
36°C或以下
<1%
37°C
13%
38°C
28%
39°C
36%
40°C
22%
41°C
8%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C或以上
<1%
39°C 36%
38°C 28%
40°C 22%
37°C 13%
$42,348 交易量
$42,348 交易量
36°C或以下
<1%
37°C
13%
38°C
28%
39°C
36%
40°C
22%
41°C
8%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent record-breaking heat across southeastern South Korea, including Busan’s 38.8°C peak on July 29 that shattered a 122-year mark, has sustained trader focus on whether August 1 exceeds or matches that level under the lingering North Pacific High. Official Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave warnings and AccuWeather guidance point to a peak near 38–39°C today, with model consensus on subsidence warming, minimal cloud cover, and light winds limiting mixing. Differentiation among 38°C, 39°C, and 40°C hinges on the precise timing of maximum insolation versus any late-day sea-breeze moderation or urban heat-island amplification in coastal Busan, alongside minor forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C underscore how anomalous persistence of these conditions keeps the top three brackets closely contested.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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