Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Ankara on August 2 under typical summer high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This aligns closely with the August climatological average high of 31–32°C and recent observational trends showing no significant heat anomaly or frontal systems approaching the region. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with low chances of exceeding 33°C or dropping below 30°C due to stable subsidence and dry continental air. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C accordingly, reflecting consensus on these near-normal values ahead of final observational verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日安卡拉的最高溫度?
31°C 45%
32°C 28%
30°C 24%
33°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
24%
31°C
45%
32°C
28%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 28%
30°C 24%
33°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
24%
31°C
45%
32°C
28%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C in Ankara on August 2 under typical summer high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This aligns closely with the August climatological average high of 31–32°C and recent observational trends showing no significant heat anomaly or frontal systems approaching the region. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with low chances of exceeding 33°C or dropping below 30°C due to stable subsidence and dry continental air. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C accordingly, reflecting consensus on these near-normal values ahead of final observational verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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