Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 29°C on August 1 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. This outcome reflects typical early-August conditions in the Anatolian plateau, where daytime highs average 30–32°C but can moderate with stable high-pressure systems that limit convective heating. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no significant moisture influx that would alter surface temperatures, keeping implied probabilities concentrated between 27°C and 29°C. Official agencies continue to monitor for any last-minute adjustments to the maximum reading before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日安卡拉的最高溫度?
28°C 54%
27°C 21%
29°C 21%
30°C 3%
$20,762 交易量
$20,762 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
21%
28°C
54%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 54%
27°C 21%
29°C 21%
30°C 3%
$20,762 交易量
$20,762 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
21%
28°C
54%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 29°C on August 1 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. This outcome reflects typical early-August conditions in the Anatolian plateau, where daytime highs average 30–32°C but can moderate with stable high-pressure systems that limit convective heating. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no significant moisture influx that would alter surface temperatures, keeping implied probabilities concentrated between 27°C and 29°C. Official agencies continue to monitor for any last-minute adjustments to the maximum reading before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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