Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a modest warm anomaly for Amsterdam on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–27 °C range under weak high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors daytime heating with limited cloud cover and reduced marine influence from the North Sea, pushing readings several degrees above early-August climatology near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing depth; stronger onshore winds or increased afternoon cloud would cap the peak near 26 °C, while clearer skies and continued southerly advection support 27–28 °C. Traders are weighting ensemble means and recent runs showing limited spread, with final updates expected from KNMI and ECMWF before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月2日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
27°C 37%
26°C 33%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
33%
27°C
37%
28°C
13%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 33%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
21°C或以下
$349 交易量
<1%
22°C
$420 交易量
<1%
23°C
$493 交易量
<1%
24°C
$531 交易量
3%
25°C
$1,109 交易量
16%
26°C
$765 交易量
33%
27°C
$830 交易量
37%
28°C
$1,762 交易量
13%
29°C
$473 交易量
2%
30°C
$440 交易量
1%
31°C或以上
$385 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a modest warm anomaly for Amsterdam on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–27 °C range under weak high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors daytime heating with limited cloud cover and reduced marine influence from the North Sea, pushing readings several degrees above early-August climatology near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing depth; stronger onshore winds or increased afternoon cloud would cap the peak near 26 °C, while clearer skies and continued southerly advection support 27–28 °C. Traders are weighting ensemble means and recent runs showing limited spread, with final updates expected from KNMI and ECMWF before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,557結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a modest warm anomaly for Amsterdam on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–27 °C range under weak high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors daytime heating with limited cloud cover and reduced marine influence from the North Sea, pushing readings several degrees above early-August climatology near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing depth; stronger onshore winds or increased afternoon cloud would cap the peak near 26 °C, while clearer skies and continued southerly advection support 27–28 °C. Traders are weighting ensemble means and recent runs showing limited spread, with final updates expected from KNMI and ECMWF before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,557結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a modest warm anomaly for Amsterdam on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–27 °C range under weak high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors daytime heating with limited cloud cover and reduced marine influence from the North Sea, pushing readings several degrees above early-August climatology near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing depth; stronger onshore winds or increased afternoon cloud would cap the peak near 26 °C, while clearer skies and continued southerly advection support 27–28 °C. Traders are weighting ensemble means and recent runs showing limited spread, with final updates expected from KNMI and ECMWF before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions