Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a daytime high of 33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 2, aligning with typical August Mediterranean conditions moderated by sea breezes and an average high near 32°C. This underpins trader consensus favoring 35°C at 59.5% implied probability, as models often show small upward variability in peak readings amid stable summer patterns. Recent seasonal observations indicate occasional exceedances to 34°C without major heatwave signals, while lower outcomes like 34°C hold 19.5% odds reflecting baseline climatology. Updated IMS guidance and regional ensemble runs in the coming hours could shift these probabilities based on any late adjustments in steering flows or insolation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月2日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
35°C 58%
34°C 19%
36°C 18%
37°C 4%
最新
$10,271 交易量
最新
$10,271 交易量
2026-08-02
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
19%
35°C
58%
36°C
18%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 58%
34°C 19%
36°C 18%
37°C 4%
最新
$10,271 交易量
最新
$10,271 交易量
2026-08-02
31°C or below
$320 交易量
<1%
32°C
$386 交易量
<1%
33°C
$715 交易量
3%
34°C
$3,646 交易量
19%
35°C
$2,040 交易量
58%
36°C
$1,011 交易量
18%
37°C
$459 交易量
4%
38°C
$58 交易量
<1%
39°C
$162 交易量
<1%
40°C
$272 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,201 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a daytime high of 33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 2, aligning with typical August Mediterranean conditions moderated by sea breezes and an average high near 32°C. This underpins trader consensus favoring 35°C at 59.5% implied probability, as models often show small upward variability in peak readings amid stable summer patterns. Recent seasonal observations indicate occasional exceedances to 34°C without major heatwave signals, while lower outcomes like 34°C hold 19.5% odds reflecting baseline climatology. Updated IMS guidance and regional ensemble runs in the coming hours could shift these probabilities based on any late adjustments in steering flows or insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$10,271結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a daytime high of 33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 2, aligning with typical August Mediterranean conditions moderated by sea breezes and an average high near 32°C. This underpins trader consensus favoring 35°C at 59.5% implied probability, as models often show small upward variability in peak readings amid stable summer patterns. Recent seasonal observations indicate occasional exceedances to 34°C without major heatwave signals, while lower outcomes like 34°C hold 19.5% odds reflecting baseline climatology. Updated IMS guidance and regional ensemble runs in the coming hours could shift these probabilities based on any late adjustments in steering flows or insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,271結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a daytime high of 33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 2, aligning with typical August Mediterranean conditions moderated by sea breezes and an average high near 32°C. This underpins trader consensus favoring 35°C at 59.5% implied probability, as models often show small upward variability in peak readings amid stable summer patterns. Recent seasonal observations indicate occasional exceedances to 34°C without major heatwave signals, while lower outcomes like 34°C hold 19.5% odds reflecting baseline climatology. Updated IMS guidance and regional ensemble runs in the coming hours could shift these probabilities based on any late adjustments in steering flows or insolation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions