Current forecasts from South African Weather Service models and international guidance, including AccuWeather data, converge on a maximum of 24°C for Cape Town on July 31 under typical mid-winter high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with the market's 100% implied probability, reflecting strong agreement across ensemble runs and historical climatology for late July maxima near 17–20°C that have been elevated by recent dry, stable patterns. Official observations at key stations will finalize the exact high by day's end. Uncertainties remain low but could arise from localized sea-breeze effects or rapid model shifts if an unexpected frontal passage develops.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦7月31日的最高溫度?
24°C 100.0%
$45,977 交易量
$45,977 交易量
24°C
100%
24°C 100.0%
$45,977 交易量
$45,977 交易量
24°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from South African Weather Service models and international guidance, including AccuWeather data, converge on a maximum of 24°C for Cape Town on July 31 under typical mid-winter high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with the market's 100% implied probability, reflecting strong agreement across ensemble runs and historical climatology for late July maxima near 17–20°C that have been elevated by recent dry, stable patterns. Official observations at key stations will finalize the exact high by day's end. Uncertainties remain low but could arise from localized sea-breeze effects or rapid model shifts if an unexpected frontal passage develops.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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