Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 72°F in Seattle on August 1 amid increasing clouds, a chance of rain, and southwesterly flow that favors a stronger marine layer and onshore cooling. This places the 72-73°F bin as the market leader at 42.5 percent implied probability, ahead of 70-71°F at 28 percent. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 79°F, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor suppressed temperatures relative to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and any shifts in the marine layer depth or precipitation timing represent the key near-term variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日西雅圖的最高溫度？
8月1日西雅圖的最高溫度？
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
63°F or below
$643 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$654 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$642 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$589 交易量
13%
70-71°F
$425 交易量
28%
72-73°F
$591 交易量
43%
74-75°F
$584 交易量
18%
76-77°F
$488 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$434 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$179 交易量
<1%
82°F or higher
$217 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 72°F in Seattle on August 1 amid increasing clouds, a chance of rain, and southwesterly flow that favors a stronger marine layer and onshore cooling. This places the 72-73°F bin as the market leader at 42.5 percent implied probability, ahead of 70-71°F at 28 percent. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 79°F, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor suppressed temperatures relative to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and any shifts in the marine layer depth or precipitation timing represent the key near-term variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$5,446結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 72°F in Seattle on August 1 amid increasing clouds, a chance of rain, and southwesterly flow that favors a stronger marine layer and onshore cooling. This places the 72-73°F bin as the market leader at 42.5 percent implied probability, ahead of 70-71°F at 28 percent. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 79°F, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor suppressed temperatures relative to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and any shifts in the marine layer depth or precipitation timing represent the key near-term variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,446結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 72°F in Seattle on August 1 amid increasing clouds, a chance of rain, and southwesterly flow that favors a stronger marine layer and onshore cooling. This places the 72-73°F bin as the market leader at 42.5 percent implied probability, ahead of 70-71°F at 28 percent. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 79°F, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor suppressed temperatures relative to seasonal norms. Updated model runs and any shifts in the marine layer depth or precipitation timing represent the key near-term variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions