Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles points to a narrow temperature band for Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly onshore flow, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime insolation during late Southern Hemisphere winter. Climatological August maxima average near 15–16°C, yet recent observations have trended 1–3°C cooler amid stable conditions, creating balanced trader probabilities across the 12–16°C bins. Key differentiators include the extent of clearing versus overcast skies, which could add or subtract 2–3°C through changes in solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, plus any subtle northerly wind shifts. Updated runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月25日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
15°C 23%
14°C 21%
13°C 14%
16°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
9°C or below
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
14%
14°C
21%
15°C
23%
16°C
14%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 23%
14°C 21%
13°C 14%
16°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
9°C or below
$5 交易量
3%
10°C
$5 交易量
3%
11°C
$5 交易量
4%
12°C
$0 交易量
5%
13°C
$0 交易量
14%
14°C
$0 交易量
21%
15°C
$2 交易量
23%
16°C
$0 交易量
14%
17°C
$10 交易量
4%
18°C
$5 交易量
2%
19°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles points to a narrow temperature band for Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly onshore flow, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime insolation during late Southern Hemisphere winter. Climatological August maxima average near 15–16°C, yet recent observations have trended 1–3°C cooler amid stable conditions, creating balanced trader probabilities across the 12–16°C bins. Key differentiators include the extent of clearing versus overcast skies, which could add or subtract 2–3°C through changes in solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, plus any subtle northerly wind shifts. Updated runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$37結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles points to a narrow temperature band for Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly onshore flow, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime insolation during late Southern Hemisphere winter. Climatological August maxima average near 15–16°C, yet recent observations have trended 1–3°C cooler amid stable conditions, creating balanced trader probabilities across the 12–16°C bins. Key differentiators include the extent of clearing versus overcast skies, which could add or subtract 2–3°C through changes in solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, plus any subtle northerly wind shifts. Updated runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRecent model consensus from global and regional ensembles points to a narrow temperature band for Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly onshore flow, and variable cloud cover that limits daytime insolation during late Southern Hemisphere winter. Climatological August maxima average near 15–16°C, yet recent observations have trended 1–3°C cooler amid stable conditions, creating balanced trader probabilities across the 12–16°C bins. Key differentiators include the extent of clearing versus overcast skies, which could add or subtract 2–3°C through changes in solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, plus any subtle northerly wind shifts. Updated runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions