Current forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a high near 12–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 13°C (46%) and 12°C (24%) outcomes, reflecting below-average winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with traders weighting observed trends from the past week of cooler-than-normal readings. Historical August maxima average near 18°C, underscoring the anomaly, though final resolution hinges on official station data amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
13°C 46%
14°C 24%
12°C 23%
15°C 6%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
23%
13°C
46%
14°C
24%
15°C
6%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 46%
14°C 24%
12°C 23%
15°C 6%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
23%
13°C
46%
14°C
24%
15°C
6%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a high near 12–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 13°C (46%) and 12°C (24%) outcomes, reflecting below-average winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, with traders weighting observed trends from the past week of cooler-than-normal readings. Historical August maxima average near 18°C, underscoring the anomaly, though final resolution hinges on official station data amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions