**Trader consensus centers on 13°C as the most probable daily maximum for Buenos Aires on 23 August 2026 (55.5% implied probability), followed by 12°C (29.5%), reflecting model consensus and official guidance.** Late-winter conditions feature a stable high-pressure system (around 1026–1028 hPa) with southerly to southeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air. Limited solar heating from partly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds (4–7 m/s) restrict diurnal warming, keeping temperatures in the 11–13°C range per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and international models. Hourly profiles from sources like Yr.no and Met Office peak near 12°C midday, with minima near 4–6°C overnight. Recent stability following earlier cold advection has produced no significant warm-air intrusions, aligning market odds with the narrow forecast envelope while leaving modest room for 14°C if insolation exceeds expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
13°C 55%
12°C 32%
14°C 9%
11°C 6%
$11,160 交易量
$11,160 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
32%
13°C
55%
14°C
9%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 55%
12°C 32%
14°C 9%
11°C 6%
$11,160 交易量
$11,160 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
32%
13°C
55%
14°C
9%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus centers on 13°C as the most probable daily maximum for Buenos Aires on 23 August 2026 (55.5% implied probability), followed by 12°C (29.5%), reflecting model consensus and official guidance.** Late-winter conditions feature a stable high-pressure system (around 1026–1028 hPa) with southerly to southeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air. Limited solar heating from partly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds (4–7 m/s) restrict diurnal warming, keeping temperatures in the 11–13°C range per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and international models. Hourly profiles from sources like Yr.no and Met Office peak near 12°C midday, with minima near 4–6°C overnight. Recent stability following earlier cold advection has produced no significant warm-air intrusions, aligning market odds with the narrow forecast envelope while leaving modest room for 14°C if insolation exceeds expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions