Official Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 19°C for London on August 4 under continued high pressure, with daytime maxima around 28°C. Traders have priced 19–21°C outcomes most heavily because ensemble forecasts show only modest spread in overnight radiative cooling rates. Clear or partly cloudy skies would allow greater heat loss, while any increase in cloud cover or light winds would keep readings closer to 20–21°C; the urban heat island further buffers extremes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月4日のロンドンの最低気温は？
20°C 40%
21°C 35%
19°C 19%
18°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
8%
19°C
19%
20°C
40%
21°C
35%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 40%
21°C 35%
19°C 19%
18°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
15°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
16°C
$11 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C
$6 Vol.
19%
20°C
$2 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
35%
22°C
$1 Vol.
7%
23°C
$45 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 19°C for London on August 4 under continued high pressure, with daytime maxima around 28°C. Traders have priced 19–21°C outcomes most heavily because ensemble forecasts show only modest spread in overnight radiative cooling rates. Clear or partly cloudy skies would allow greater heat loss, while any increase in cloud cover or light winds would keep readings closer to 20–21°C; the urban heat island further buffers extremes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$115終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 19°C for London on August 4 under continued high pressure, with daytime maxima around 28°C. Traders have priced 19–21°C outcomes most heavily because ensemble forecasts show only modest spread in overnight radiative cooling rates. Clear or partly cloudy skies would allow greater heat loss, while any increase in cloud cover or light winds would keep readings closer to 20–21°C; the urban heat island further buffers extremes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$115終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOfficial Met Office guidance points to a minimum near 19°C for London on August 4 under continued high pressure, with daytime maxima around 28°C. Traders have priced 19–21°C outcomes most heavily because ensemble forecasts show only modest spread in overnight radiative cooling rates. Clear or partly cloudy skies would allow greater heat loss, while any increase in cloud cover or light winds would keep readings closer to 20–21°C; the urban heat island further buffers extremes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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