Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on August 4 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by active southwest monsoon conditions featuring widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70–85%, and scattered thundershowers or isolated storms that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. These patterns align with typical early-August climatology for the region, where persistent moisture from the Bay of Bengal branch reduces daily maxima below peak pre-monsoon levels. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C because near-term guidance shows limited model spread on steering winds and rainfall timing, though slight revisions in precipitation intensity could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated IMD and global ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine land-surface and convective details ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のラクナウの最高気温は?
31℃ 35%
32°C 28%
30°C 26%
29℃ 13%
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27℃
2%
28℃
5%
29℃
12%
30°C
18%
31℃
35%
32°C
28%
33°C
8%
34°C以上
3%
31℃ 35%
32°C 28%
30°C 26%
29℃ 13%
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27℃
2%
28℃
5%
29℃
12%
30°C
18%
31℃
35%
32°C
28%
33°C
8%
34°C以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Lucknow on August 4 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by active southwest monsoon conditions featuring widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70–85%, and scattered thundershowers or isolated storms that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. These patterns align with typical early-August climatology for the region, where persistent moisture from the Bay of Bengal branch reduces daily maxima below peak pre-monsoon levels. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C because near-term guidance shows limited model spread on steering winds and rainfall timing, though slight revisions in precipitation intensity could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated IMD and global ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine land-surface and convective details ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問