Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris's maximum temperature on August 2, 2026, reflecting a stable anticyclone advecting warmer subtropical air northward under mostly clear skies. Current guidance shows afternoon highs near 32–33°C with limited diurnal variability and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping extremes below 35°C unlikely. This aligns with climatological late-summer baselines while incorporating short-term model consensus on steering patterns and surface heating. Traders are weighting these probabilities heavily because resolution depends on official Météo-France observations, and fresh model runs or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the exact peak within the narrow 31–33°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のパリの最高気温は？
8月2日のパリの最高気温は？
32°C 49%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
30°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
23%
32°C
49%
33°C
23%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 49%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
30°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
28°C or below
$325 Vol.
1%
29°C
$173 Vol.
2%
30°C
$441 Vol.
6%
31°C
$1,252 Vol.
23%
32°C
$585 Vol.
49%
33°C
$558 Vol.
23%
34°C
$528 Vol.
3%
35°C
$230 Vol.
1%
36°C
$237 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris's maximum temperature on August 2, 2026, reflecting a stable anticyclone advecting warmer subtropical air northward under mostly clear skies. Current guidance shows afternoon highs near 32–33°C with limited diurnal variability and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping extremes below 35°C unlikely. This aligns with climatological late-summer baselines while incorporating short-term model consensus on steering patterns and surface heating. Traders are weighting these probabilities heavily because resolution depends on official Météo-France observations, and fresh model runs or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the exact peak within the narrow 31–33°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$4,699終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris's maximum temperature on August 2, 2026, reflecting a stable anticyclone advecting warmer subtropical air northward under mostly clear skies. Current guidance shows afternoon highs near 32–33°C with limited diurnal variability and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping extremes below 35°C unlikely. This aligns with climatological late-summer baselines while incorporating short-term model consensus on steering patterns and surface heating. Traders are weighting these probabilities heavily because resolution depends on official Météo-France observations, and fresh model runs or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the exact peak within the narrow 31–33°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,699終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris's maximum temperature on August 2, 2026, reflecting a stable anticyclone advecting warmer subtropical air northward under mostly clear skies. Current guidance shows afternoon highs near 32–33°C with limited diurnal variability and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping extremes below 35°C unlikely. This aligns with climatological late-summer baselines while incorporating short-term model consensus on steering patterns and surface heating. Traders are weighting these probabilities heavily because resolution depends on official Météo-France observations, and fresh model runs or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the exact peak within the narrow 31–33°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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