Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 70°F in Seattle on August 2, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a strengthening marine layer that limits afternoon warming. These conditions favor the tightly bunched 68–71°F outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities. Seattle’s typical early-August climatology features highs of 75–78°F under clearer skies, but increased cloud cover and a modest trough offshore have kept temperatures closer to seasonal norms this week. Updated model consensus and boundary-layer moisture trends will refine the exact maximum before resolution tomorrow evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のシアトルの最高気温は？
8月2日のシアトルの最高気温は？
70-71°F 37%
68-69°F 23%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
2%
70-71°F 37%
68-69°F 23%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
63°F or below
$0 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$16 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
23%
70-71°F
$3 Vol.
48%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$25 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
2%
82°F or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 70°F in Seattle on August 2, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a strengthening marine layer that limits afternoon warming. These conditions favor the tightly bunched 68–71°F outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities. Seattle’s typical early-August climatology features highs of 75–78°F under clearer skies, but increased cloud cover and a modest trough offshore have kept temperatures closer to seasonal norms this week. Updated model consensus and boundary-layer moisture trends will refine the exact maximum before resolution tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$53終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 70°F in Seattle on August 2, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a strengthening marine layer that limits afternoon warming. These conditions favor the tightly bunched 68–71°F outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities. Seattle’s typical early-August climatology features highs of 75–78°F under clearer skies, but increased cloud cover and a modest trough offshore have kept temperatures closer to seasonal norms this week. Updated model consensus and boundary-layer moisture trends will refine the exact maximum before resolution tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$53終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 70°F in Seattle on August 2, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a strengthening marine layer that limits afternoon warming. These conditions favor the tightly bunched 68–71°F outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities. Seattle’s typical early-August climatology features highs of 75–78°F under clearer skies, but increased cloud cover and a modest trough offshore have kept temperatures closer to seasonal norms this week. Updated model consensus and boundary-layer moisture trends will refine the exact maximum before resolution tomorrow evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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