The market-implied odds reflect official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on July 31, consistent with regional weather station data and typical late-July patterns under prevailing atmospheric conditions. This outcome aligns with verified measurements rather than forecasts or models, as the date has passed. Trader consensus converged rapidly once preliminary reports confirmed the peak, leaving negligible probability for other thresholds. Scenarios that could have altered resolution include localized measurement discrepancies at official sites, revisions to the reported maximum due to equipment calibration, or unusual microclimate effects not captured in the primary record.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月31日の香港の最高気温は?
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$169,227 Vol.
$169,227 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$169,227 Vol.
$169,227 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds reflect official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on July 31, consistent with regional weather station data and typical late-July patterns under prevailing atmospheric conditions. This outcome aligns with verified measurements rather than forecasts or models, as the date has passed. Trader consensus converged rapidly once preliminary reports confirmed the peak, leaving negligible probability for other thresholds. Scenarios that could have altered resolution include localized measurement discrepancies at official sites, revisions to the reported maximum due to equipment calibration, or unusual microclimate effects not captured in the primary record.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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