Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月31日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
7月31日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$71,332 Vol.
$71,332 Vol.
2026/07/31
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$71,332 Vol.
$71,332 Vol.
2026/07/31
75°F or below
$757 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$906 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,167 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$7,633 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,691 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$19,323 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$12,421 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$10,262 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,586 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,801 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$3,785 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
音量
$71,332終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$71,332終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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