Trader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
8月2日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
76〜77°F 26%
68～69°F 16%
70～71°F 16%
78〜79°F 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
華氏63度以下
1%
64〜65°F
1%
66～67°F
1%
68～69°F
16%
70～71°F
16%
72～73°F
39%
74～75°F
44%
76〜77°F
26%
78〜79°F
16%
80〜81°F
1%
82°F以上
1%
76〜77°F 26%
68～69°F 16%
70～71°F 16%
78〜79°F 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
華氏63度以下
$22 Vol.
1%
64〜65°F
$25 Vol.
1%
66～67°F
$37 Vol.
1%
68～69°F
$29 Vol.
16%
70～71°F
$0 Vol.
16%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
44%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78〜79°F
$0 Vol.
16%
80〜81°F
$22 Vol.
1%
82°F以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$135終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$135終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTrader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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