Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on August 1 are suppressing daytime solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping the maximum temperature near 27–28°C according to multiple models. High humidity levels near 85% combined with light easterly winds limit rapid warming even during any brief breaks in the overcast conditions typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Traders have priced 28°C and 29°C as the closest outcomes because small variations in storm timing or localized urban heat effects could shift the peak by 1°C at the official monitoring station. These probabilities align with climatological expectations for rainy August days rather than clear-sky maxima that often exceed 31°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日の深センの最高気温は?
29℃ 37%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 11.5%
$58,033 Vol.
$58,033 Vol.
23°C以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
1%
28°C
19%
29℃
37%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32℃
4%
33°C以上
1%
29℃ 37%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 11.5%
$58,033 Vol.
$58,033 Vol.
23°C以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
1%
28°C
19%
29℃
37%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32℃
4%
33°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on August 1 are suppressing daytime solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping the maximum temperature near 27–28°C according to multiple models. High humidity levels near 85% combined with light easterly winds limit rapid warming even during any brief breaks in the overcast conditions typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Traders have priced 28°C and 29°C as the closest outcomes because small variations in storm timing or localized urban heat effects could shift the peak by 1°C at the official monitoring station. These probabilities align with climatological expectations for rainy August days rather than clear-sky maxima that often exceed 31°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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