**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's August 2 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 27–28°C (combined ~59% implied probability), reflecting current forecast consensus for a modest daily high amid persistent monsoon-season moisture.** Subtropical high humidity and widespread cloud cover from expected moderate rain and thunderstorms limit daytime solar heating, keeping surface temperatures below the ~32°C August climatological average. Steering patterns and regional convergence favor convective activity that enhances evaporative cooling and reduces insolation, with model guidance showing highs near 27–29°C under overcast or stormy conditions. Minor forecast spreads arise from uncertainties in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and local urban heat-island effects, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on whether breaks in cloud allow brief warming or sustained precipitation suppresses it further. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once observations confirm the day's recorded maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日の深センの最高気温は?
27℃ 31%
28°C 29%
29℃ 19%
30°C 11%
$26,060 Vol.
$26,060 Vol.
23℃以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26℃
8%
27℃
31%
28°C
29%
29℃
19%
30°C
11%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C以上
1%
27℃ 31%
28°C 29%
29℃ 19%
30°C 11%
$26,060 Vol.
$26,060 Vol.
23℃以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26℃
8%
27℃
31%
28°C
29%
29℃
19%
30°C
11%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's August 2 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 27–28°C (combined ~59% implied probability), reflecting current forecast consensus for a modest daily high amid persistent monsoon-season moisture.** Subtropical high humidity and widespread cloud cover from expected moderate rain and thunderstorms limit daytime solar heating, keeping surface temperatures below the ~32°C August climatological average. Steering patterns and regional convergence favor convective activity that enhances evaporative cooling and reduces insolation, with model guidance showing highs near 27–29°C under overcast or stormy conditions. Minor forecast spreads arise from uncertainties in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and local urban heat-island effects, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on whether breaks in cloud allow brief warming or sustained precipitation suppresses it further. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once observations confirm the day's recorded maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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