**Current forecasts position 36°C and 37°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s highest temperature on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus on peak daytime heating under humid subtropical conditions.** Shanghai typically sees August maxima near 32–35°C, but extended-range guidance from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates 37–38°C (98–100°F) potential amid above-average warmth linked to broader 2026 patterns, including El Niño influences that can enhance regional temperatures and typhoon activity. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with high humidity supporting sustained heat but possible late-day showers or increased cloud cover capping extremes and keeping probabilities concentrated at 36–37°C. Trader sentiment aligns with these dynamical forecasts, which carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of 48–72-hour predictions; fresh model updates or official briefings from monitoring agencies could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or convective activity change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日の上海の最高気温は?
36°C 43%
37°C 34%
35°C 18%
38°C 6%
$14,070 Vol.
$14,070 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
18%
36°C
43%
37°C
34%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
37°C 34%
35°C 18%
38°C 6%
$14,070 Vol.
$14,070 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
18%
36°C
43%
37°C
34%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts position 36°C and 37°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s highest temperature on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus on peak daytime heating under humid subtropical conditions.** Shanghai typically sees August maxima near 32–35°C, but extended-range guidance from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates 37–38°C (98–100°F) potential amid above-average warmth linked to broader 2026 patterns, including El Niño influences that can enhance regional temperatures and typhoon activity. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with high humidity supporting sustained heat but possible late-day showers or increased cloud cover capping extremes and keeping probabilities concentrated at 36–37°C. Trader sentiment aligns with these dynamical forecasts, which carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of 48–72-hour predictions; fresh model updates or official briefings from monitoring agencies could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or convective activity change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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