Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Guangzhou's August 2 peak because official forecasts indicate a typical humid subtropical summer day with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms moderating afternoon heating. High atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation from overcast skies limit surface warming below seasonal averages near 32–33°C, while variable steering patterns and timing of precipitation create narrow uncertainty between 29°C and 31°C outcomes. Recent model runs emphasize these dynamics, with light winds and high dew points further constraining temperature spikes. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies on cloud trends and convective activity will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日の広州の最高気温は？
8月2日の広州の最高気温は？
30℃ 35%
31℃ 26%
29℃ 22%
32°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
2%
28℃
9%
29℃
22%
30℃
35%
31℃
26%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34℃
1%
35°C以上
<1%
30℃ 35%
31℃ 26%
29℃ 22%
32°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
25℃以下
$150 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$127 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$238 Vol.
2%
28℃
$425 Vol.
9%
29℃
$385 Vol.
22%
30℃
$330 Vol.
35%
31℃
$297 Vol.
26%
32°C
$887 Vol.
11%
33°C
$1,258 Vol.
2%
34℃
$258 Vol.
1%
35°C以上
$452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Guangzhou's August 2 peak because official forecasts indicate a typical humid subtropical summer day with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms moderating afternoon heating. High atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation from overcast skies limit surface warming below seasonal averages near 32–33°C, while variable steering patterns and timing of precipitation create narrow uncertainty between 29°C and 31°C outcomes. Recent model runs emphasize these dynamics, with light winds and high dew points further constraining temperature spikes. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies on cloud trends and convective activity will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$4,808終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Guangzhou's August 2 peak because official forecasts indicate a typical humid subtropical summer day with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms moderating afternoon heating. High atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation from overcast skies limit surface warming below seasonal averages near 32–33°C, while variable steering patterns and timing of precipitation create narrow uncertainty between 29°C and 31°C outcomes. Recent model runs emphasize these dynamics, with light winds and high dew points further constraining temperature spikes. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies on cloud trends and convective activity will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,808終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Guangzhou's August 2 peak because official forecasts indicate a typical humid subtropical summer day with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms moderating afternoon heating. High atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation from overcast skies limit surface warming below seasonal averages near 32–33°C, while variable steering patterns and timing of precipitation create narrow uncertainty between 29°C and 31°C outcomes. Recent model runs emphasize these dynamics, with light winds and high dew points further constraining temperature spikes. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies on cloud trends and convective activity will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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