Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to thunderstorms and rain on August 3 moderating peak temperatures amid ongoing subtropical monsoon conditions and elevated humidity levels near 80-85%. Official outlooks and historical August patterns show typical highs around 30-32°C, yet convective activity and cloud cover favor outcomes clustered at 27-29°C, aligning with market-implied odds where these three lead. Key differentiators include the timing and intensity of any sea-breeze effects or localized downpours, which can cap afternoon maxima by 1-3°C compared to clearer days, while broader regional warming trends and typhoon-season moisture sustain the narrow spread across nearby bins. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日の深センの最高気温は？
8月3日の深センの最高気温は？
29°C 30%
28°C 22%
27°C 19%
30°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
23°C以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26℃
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
22%
29°C
30%
30°C
17%
31°C
11%
32°C
6%
33℃以上
4%
29°C 30%
28°C 22%
27°C 19%
30°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
23°C以下
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
2%
26℃
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
19%
28°C
$5 Vol.
22%
29°C
$5 Vol.
30%
30°C
$5 Vol.
17%
31°C
$5 Vol.
11%
32°C
$15 Vol.
6%
33℃以上
$6 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to thunderstorms and rain on August 3 moderating peak temperatures amid ongoing subtropical monsoon conditions and elevated humidity levels near 80-85%. Official outlooks and historical August patterns show typical highs around 30-32°C, yet convective activity and cloud cover favor outcomes clustered at 27-29°C, aligning with market-implied odds where these three lead. Key differentiators include the timing and intensity of any sea-breeze effects or localized downpours, which can cap afternoon maxima by 1-3°C compared to clearer days, while broader regional warming trends and typhoon-season moisture sustain the narrow spread across nearby bins. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$76終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to thunderstorms and rain on August 3 moderating peak temperatures amid ongoing subtropical monsoon conditions and elevated humidity levels near 80-85%. Official outlooks and historical August patterns show typical highs around 30-32°C, yet convective activity and cloud cover favor outcomes clustered at 27-29°C, aligning with market-implied odds where these three lead. Key differentiators include the timing and intensity of any sea-breeze effects or localized downpours, which can cap afternoon maxima by 1-3°C compared to clearer days, while broader regional warming trends and typhoon-season moisture sustain the narrow spread across nearby bins. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$76終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen point to thunderstorms and rain on August 3 moderating peak temperatures amid ongoing subtropical monsoon conditions and elevated humidity levels near 80-85%. Official outlooks and historical August patterns show typical highs around 30-32°C, yet convective activity and cloud cover favor outcomes clustered at 27-29°C, aligning with market-implied odds where these three lead. Key differentiators include the timing and intensity of any sea-breeze effects or localized downpours, which can cap afternoon maxima by 1-3°C compared to clearer days, while broader regional warming trends and typhoon-season moisture sustain the narrow spread across nearby bins. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問