Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to clear conditions and highs near 31°C for Qingdao on August 3, moderated by coastal sea breezes and typical early-August patterns, yet market odds cluster tightly around 35–37°C due to forecast spread in temperature extremes. Key differentiators include potential subtropical ridge strengthening that could boost daytime heating, humidity-driven heat indices, and ensemble variability in maximum temperature guidance. With only days until resolution, traders weigh short-term model updates against historical August peaks reaching 35°C amid ongoing summer warmth.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日の青島の最高気温は?
35°C 37%
37℃以上 25%
34℃ 22%
36℃ 22%
27°C以下
1%
28°C
1%
29℃
1%
30℃
2%
31℃
4%
32°C
3%
33℃
14%
34℃
22%
35°C
30%
36℃
22%
37℃以上
25%
35°C 37%
37℃以上 25%
34℃ 22%
36℃ 22%
27°C以下
1%
28°C
1%
29℃
1%
30℃
2%
31℃
4%
32°C
3%
33℃
14%
34℃
22%
35°C
30%
36℃
22%
37℃以上
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to clear conditions and highs near 31°C for Qingdao on August 3, moderated by coastal sea breezes and typical early-August patterns, yet market odds cluster tightly around 35–37°C due to forecast spread in temperature extremes. Key differentiators include potential subtropical ridge strengthening that could boost daytime heating, humidity-driven heat indices, and ensemble variability in maximum temperature guidance. With only days until resolution, traders weigh short-term model updates against historical August peaks reaching 35°C amid ongoing summer warmth.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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