Recent model guidance and observational trends point to a warm air mass influencing eastern China, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 35–37 °C in Qingdao on August 2. Sea surface temperatures near 28 °C and light southerly flow limit marine cooling while enhancing sensible heating over land; combined with low cloud cover and modest subsidence, these factors elevate maximum temperatures several degrees above the 29–31 °C August climatology. Ensemble spread remains notable around the 34–36 °C threshold, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any onshore breeze or convective development. Updated runs from regional models and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected later today will likely refine the outcome distribution before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日の青島の最高気温は？
8月2日の青島の最高気温は？
36℃ 40%
35℃ 31%
37°C 24%
38℃以上 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
1%
32℃
1%
33℃
1%
34℃
5%
35℃
31%
36℃
40%
37°C
24%
38℃以上
7%
36℃ 40%
35℃ 31%
37°C 24%
38℃以上 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
28℃以下
$408 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$413 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$446 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$295 Vol.
1%
32℃
$229 Vol.
1%
33℃
$653 Vol.
1%
34℃
$474 Vol.
5%
35℃
$353 Vol.
31%
36℃
$249 Vol.
40%
37°C
$453 Vol.
24%
38℃以上
$462 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and observational trends point to a warm air mass influencing eastern China, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 35–37 °C in Qingdao on August 2. Sea surface temperatures near 28 °C and light southerly flow limit marine cooling while enhancing sensible heating over land; combined with low cloud cover and modest subsidence, these factors elevate maximum temperatures several degrees above the 29–31 °C August climatology. Ensemble spread remains notable around the 34–36 °C threshold, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any onshore breeze or convective development. Updated runs from regional models and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected later today will likely refine the outcome distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$4,436終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and observational trends point to a warm air mass influencing eastern China, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 35–37 °C in Qingdao on August 2. Sea surface temperatures near 28 °C and light southerly flow limit marine cooling while enhancing sensible heating over land; combined with low cloud cover and modest subsidence, these factors elevate maximum temperatures several degrees above the 29–31 °C August climatology. Ensemble spread remains notable around the 34–36 °C threshold, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any onshore breeze or convective development. Updated runs from regional models and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected later today will likely refine the outcome distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,436終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent model guidance and observational trends point to a warm air mass influencing eastern China, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 35–37 °C in Qingdao on August 2. Sea surface temperatures near 28 °C and light southerly flow limit marine cooling while enhancing sensible heating over land; combined with low cloud cover and modest subsidence, these factors elevate maximum temperatures several degrees above the 29–31 °C August climatology. Ensemble spread remains notable around the 34–36 °C threshold, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any onshore breeze or convective development. Updated runs from regional models and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected later today will likely refine the outcome distribution before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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