Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate persistent heavy rain and thunderstorms over Chengdu on August 1, 2026, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum to around 27°C under thick cloud cover and high humidity. This aligns with the market’s leading 48% implied probability for 27°C and 26.5% for 26°C, reflecting recent model consensus on reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Historical August averages near 30–32°C are tempered here by an active summer monsoon pattern, with steering flows favoring widespread showers rather than clear-sky heating. Updated runs and official briefings expected throughout the day will refine exact maxima, particularly if rainfall intensity or timing shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日の成都の最高気温は？
8月1日の成都の最高気温は？
27°C 48%
26℃ 31%
28℃ 11%
29°C 10%
$41,139 Vol.
$41,139 Vol.
2026/08/01
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
31%
27°C
48%
28℃
11%
29°C
10%
30℃
2%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
27°C 48%
26℃ 31%
28℃ 11%
29°C 10%
$41,139 Vol.
$41,139 Vol.
2026/08/01
22℃以下
$702 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$1,445 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$2,826 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$5,457 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$5,520 Vol.
31%
27°C
$1,790 Vol.
48%
28℃
$1,691 Vol.
11%
29°C
$2,163 Vol.
10%
30℃
$3,470 Vol.
2%
31℃
$4,734 Vol.
<1%
32℃以上
$11,341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate persistent heavy rain and thunderstorms over Chengdu on August 1, 2026, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum to around 27°C under thick cloud cover and high humidity. This aligns with the market’s leading 48% implied probability for 27°C and 26.5% for 26°C, reflecting recent model consensus on reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Historical August averages near 30–32°C are tempered here by an active summer monsoon pattern, with steering flows favoring widespread showers rather than clear-sky heating. Updated runs and official briefings expected throughout the day will refine exact maxima, particularly if rainfall intensity or timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$41,139終了日
2026/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate persistent heavy rain and thunderstorms over Chengdu on August 1, 2026, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum to around 27°C under thick cloud cover and high humidity. This aligns with the market’s leading 48% implied probability for 27°C and 26.5% for 26°C, reflecting recent model consensus on reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Historical August averages near 30–32°C are tempered here by an active summer monsoon pattern, with steering flows favoring widespread showers rather than clear-sky heating. Updated runs and official briefings expected throughout the day will refine exact maxima, particularly if rainfall intensity or timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$41,139終了日
2026/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate persistent heavy rain and thunderstorms over Chengdu on August 1, 2026, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum to around 27°C under thick cloud cover and high humidity. This aligns with the market’s leading 48% implied probability for 27°C and 26.5% for 26°C, reflecting recent model consensus on reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Historical August averages near 30–32°C are tempered here by an active summer monsoon pattern, with steering flows favoring widespread showers rather than clear-sky heating. Updated runs and official briefings expected throughout the day will refine exact maxima, particularly if rainfall intensity or timing shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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