Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate and position in the Yangtze River basin typically drive August highs into the mid-30s Celsius, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplifying peak readings. Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office and local observations project a daytime maximum of 34–36 °C on August 1, 2026, aligning with the market’s strong 49.5 % implied probability for 36 °C and 33.5 % for 37 °C. Recent model runs showing stable high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have reinforced trader expectations for readings at or just above the monthly average of 34 °C, while lower-probability outcomes for 38 °C or higher reflect limited upside potential absent a sudden heat surge. Updated hourly data through midday confirm a trajectory consistent with these leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日の武漢の最高気温は?
36°C 50%
37°C 35%
35°C 9%
38°C 6%
$13,247 Vol.
$13,247 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
50%
37°C
35%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40℃以上
<1%
36°C 50%
37°C 35%
35°C 9%
38°C 6%
$13,247 Vol.
$13,247 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
50%
37°C
35%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wuhan’s subtropical monsoon climate and position in the Yangtze River basin typically drive August highs into the mid-30s Celsius, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplifying peak readings. Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office and local observations project a daytime maximum of 34–36 °C on August 1, 2026, aligning with the market’s strong 49.5 % implied probability for 36 °C and 33.5 % for 37 °C. Recent model runs showing stable high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have reinforced trader expectations for readings at or just above the monthly average of 34 °C, while lower-probability outcomes for 38 °C or higher reflect limited upside potential absent a sudden heat surge. Updated hourly data through midday confirm a trajectory consistent with these leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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