Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration for August 1, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of showers, consistent with typical midsummer conditions featuring high humidity and limited solar heating. Historical August maxima average near 32–34°C, but recent days have trended warmer amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal typhoon influence. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering on 36°C (54.5%) and 37°C (42.5%), as minor variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat-island effects could push the observed peak one degree higher or keep it at forecast levels. Stronger convection or earlier rain would cap temperatures nearer 35°C, while clearer skies could allow brief spikes toward 38°C, though current model consensus and low probabilities on extremes reflect limited upside. Updated CWA briefings and real-time station data near resolution will refine these ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日の台北の最高気温は?
36°C 84%
37°C 12%
38°C 3%
39°C or higher <1%
$56,494 Vol.
$56,494 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
84%
37°C
12%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 84%
37°C 12%
38°C 3%
39°C or higher <1%
$56,494 Vol.
$56,494 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
84%
37°C
12%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration for August 1, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of showers, consistent with typical midsummer conditions featuring high humidity and limited solar heating. Historical August maxima average near 32–34°C, but recent days have trended warmer amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal typhoon influence. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering on 36°C (54.5%) and 37°C (42.5%), as minor variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat-island effects could push the observed peak one degree higher or keep it at forecast levels. Stronger convection or earlier rain would cap temperatures nearer 35°C, while clearer skies could allow brief spikes toward 38°C, though current model consensus and low probabilities on extremes reflect limited upside. Updated CWA briefings and real-time station data near resolution will refine these ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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