Current forecast models for Taipei on August 2 project a daily maximum near 35–36°C, supporting the tight market split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include timing of any afternoon cloud cover or showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions that allow stronger solar heating in the urban basin. The urban heat island effect and low wind speeds typical of the region can push localized measurements higher, while higher humidity and residual monsoon moisture introduce variability. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, but short-term model updates from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日の台北の最高気温は?
37°C 37%
36°C 34%
38°C 18%
35°C 10%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
10%
36°C
34%
37°C
37%
38°C
18%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
<1%
37°C 37%
36°C 34%
38°C 18%
35°C 10%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
10%
36°C
34%
37°C
37%
38°C
18%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models for Taipei on August 2 project a daily maximum near 35–36°C, supporting the tight market split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include timing of any afternoon cloud cover or showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions that allow stronger solar heating in the urban basin. The urban heat island effect and low wind speeds typical of the region can push localized measurements higher, while higher humidity and residual monsoon moisture introduce variability. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, but short-term model updates from agencies like the Central Weather Administration will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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