Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models show Chongqing's maximum temperature on August 1 likely peaking between 36–37 °C, with close market probabilities reflecting small but decisive spreads in predicted boundary-layer heating and cloud cover. The city’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes heat trapping under weak synoptic flow, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify afternoon readings; subtle differences in timing of any convective development or southeasterly advection can shift the daily peak by 1 °C. Official station data and model consensus place the outcome near long-term early-August climatology, with final resolution hinging on verified 2 m air-temperature observations rather than forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日の重慶の最高気温は?
37°C 40%
36°C 32%
35°C 19%
38°C 14%
$25,298 Vol.
$25,298 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
19%
36°C
32%
37°C
40%
38°C
14%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 40%
36°C 32%
35°C 19%
38°C 14%
$25,298 Vol.
$25,298 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
19%
36°C
32%
37°C
40%
38°C
14%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models show Chongqing's maximum temperature on August 1 likely peaking between 36–37 °C, with close market probabilities reflecting small but decisive spreads in predicted boundary-layer heating and cloud cover. The city’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes heat trapping under weak synoptic flow, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify afternoon readings; subtle differences in timing of any convective development or southeasterly advection can shift the daily peak by 1 °C. Official station data and model consensus place the outcome near long-term early-August climatology, with final resolution hinging on verified 2 m air-temperature observations rather than forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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