Recent forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns show increased cloud cover and light to moderate rainfall expected across Chongqing on August 2, limiting surface heating and keeping daytime maxima at or below 33°C. This aligns with the market's 71.5% implied probability for that outcome, as persistent moisture advection from the south suppresses typical August insolation under subtropical high pressure. Historical baselines place early-August highs near 34°C, but current ensemble runs emphasize cooler boundary-layer conditions compared to drier 2025 analogs. Traders appear to weigh the near-term precipitation signal heavily, with only modest probability assigned to brief clearing that could allow a 34–35°C spike. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers will be key ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日の重慶の最高気温は?
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 7%
36°C 3%
$23,792 Vol.
$23,792 Vol.
33°C or below
72%
34°C
18%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43℃以上
<1%
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 7%
36°C 3%
$23,792 Vol.
$23,792 Vol.
33°C or below
72%
34°C
18%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns show increased cloud cover and light to moderate rainfall expected across Chongqing on August 2, limiting surface heating and keeping daytime maxima at or below 33°C. This aligns with the market's 71.5% implied probability for that outcome, as persistent moisture advection from the south suppresses typical August insolation under subtropical high pressure. Historical baselines place early-August highs near 34°C, but current ensemble runs emphasize cooler boundary-layer conditions compared to drier 2025 analogs. Traders appear to weigh the near-term precipitation signal heavily, with only modest probability assigned to brief clearing that could allow a 34–35°C spike. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers will be key ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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