Traders assign near-certainty to a 23°C high in São Paulo on July 31 because official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia station readings and National Institute of Meteorology-verified maxima aligned precisely on that value, with minimal model spread in post-event reanalysis. July climatology for the region shows typical winter highs near 22–24°C under stable subtropical high pressure, and no significant warm advection or urban heat island anomalies altered the outcome. Resolution hinges on the single highest recorded temperature at the designated reference station, leaving little room for revision unless a data-quality audit or secondary station discrepancy emerges in final reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月31日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,335 Vol.
$44,335 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,335 Vol.
$44,335 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign near-certainty to a 23°C high in São Paulo on July 31 because official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia station readings and National Institute of Meteorology-verified maxima aligned precisely on that value, with minimal model spread in post-event reanalysis. July climatology for the region shows typical winter highs near 22–24°C under stable subtropical high pressure, and no significant warm advection or urban heat island anomalies altered the outcome. Resolution hinges on the single highest recorded temperature at the designated reference station, leaving little room for revision unless a data-quality audit or secondary station discrepancy emerges in final reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問