Persistent high-pressure systems dominating northern France have sustained above-normal warmth into early August, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping Paris overnight lows elevated near seasonal peaks. Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus points to minimum temperatures of 15–17°C on August 2, with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow preventing significant advection of cooler air. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (50%) and 15°C (30.5%), while lower outcomes remain less likely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and official guidance on August 1 will further refine the final distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のパリの最低気温は？
8月2日のパリの最低気温は？
16℃ 50%
15°C 30%
17℃ 16%
14℃以下 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
14℃以下
8%
15°C
30%
16℃
50%
17℃
16%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
16℃ 50%
15°C 30%
17℃ 16%
14℃以下 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
14℃以下
$270 Vol.
8%
15°C
$266 Vol.
30%
16℃
$537 Vol.
50%
17℃
$167 Vol.
16%
18°C
$119 Vol.
2%
19°C
$170 Vol.
2%
20°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$89 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
24℃以上
$119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems dominating northern France have sustained above-normal warmth into early August, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping Paris overnight lows elevated near seasonal peaks. Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus points to minimum temperatures of 15–17°C on August 2, with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow preventing significant advection of cooler air. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (50%) and 15°C (30.5%), while lower outcomes remain less likely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and official guidance on August 1 will further refine the final distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$2,019終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems dominating northern France have sustained above-normal warmth into early August, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping Paris overnight lows elevated near seasonal peaks. Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus points to minimum temperatures of 15–17°C on August 2, with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow preventing significant advection of cooler air. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (50%) and 15°C (30.5%), while lower outcomes remain less likely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and official guidance on August 1 will further refine the final distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,019終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETPersistent high-pressure systems dominating northern France have sustained above-normal warmth into early August, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping Paris overnight lows elevated near seasonal peaks. Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus points to minimum temperatures of 15–17°C on August 2, with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow preventing significant advection of cooler air. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (50%) and 15°C (30.5%), while lower outcomes remain less likely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and official guidance on August 1 will further refine the final distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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