Current Met Office forecasts show London reaching a daytime maximum of 27°C on August 2 under building high pressure, with light winds and increasing sunshine that favors daytime warming from a southerly air mass. This aligns with the summer's above-average maximum temperatures across southern England (running roughly 2–3°C above the long-term mean) and supports the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates limited spread around this value, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or frontal approaches could trim or add 1°C. Traders appear to price in the high-resolution consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near the 26–28°C thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のロンドンの最高気温は？
8月2日のロンドンの最高気温は？
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
新規
$23,967 Vol.
新規
$23,967 Vol.
2026/08/02
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
新規
$23,967 Vol.
新規
$23,967 Vol.
2026/08/02
22°C or below
$739 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$488 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,409 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,999 Vol.
9%
26°C
$5,518 Vol.
24%
27°C
$4,460 Vol.
45%
28°C
$1,473 Vol.
18%
29°C
$2,099 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,644 Vol.
1%
31°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$435 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office forecasts show London reaching a daytime maximum of 27°C on August 2 under building high pressure, with light winds and increasing sunshine that favors daytime warming from a southerly air mass. This aligns with the summer's above-average maximum temperatures across southern England (running roughly 2–3°C above the long-term mean) and supports the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates limited spread around this value, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or frontal approaches could trim or add 1°C. Traders appear to price in the high-resolution consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near the 26–28°C thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$23,967終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office forecasts show London reaching a daytime maximum of 27°C on August 2 under building high pressure, with light winds and increasing sunshine that favors daytime warming from a southerly air mass. This aligns with the summer's above-average maximum temperatures across southern England (running roughly 2–3°C above the long-term mean) and supports the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates limited spread around this value, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or frontal approaches could trim or add 1°C. Traders appear to price in the high-resolution consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near the 26–28°C thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$23,967終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETCurrent Met Office forecasts show London reaching a daytime maximum of 27°C on August 2 under building high pressure, with light winds and increasing sunshine that favors daytime warming from a southerly air mass. This aligns with the summer's above-average maximum temperatures across southern England (running roughly 2–3°C above the long-term mean) and supports the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates limited spread around this value, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or frontal approaches could trim or add 1°C. Traders appear to price in the high-resolution consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near the 26–28°C thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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