Latest forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute show a maximum of 21°C in Helsinki on August 4, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF and others clustering tightly around 20–22°C amid stable southwesterly flow and no significant frontal systems. This aligns with early-August climatology, where highs average near 20–21°C and daily variability rarely exceeds 2–3°C absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model runs exhibit modest spread tied to possible convective timing or cloud cover, keeping warmer or cooler outliers below 10% probability. Trader consensus, with 22°C leading at 45% implied probability followed by 21°C at 26.5%, reflects this narrow forecast range and upcoming daily updates that could refine peak heating estimates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のヘルシンキの最高気温は?
22℃ 47%
21°C 27%
23°C 18%
20°C 7%
18°C以下
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
27%
22℃
47%
23°C
18%
24℃
6%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
22℃ 47%
21°C 27%
23°C 18%
20°C 7%
18°C以下
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
27%
22℃
47%
23°C
18%
24℃
6%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute show a maximum of 21°C in Helsinki on August 4, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF and others clustering tightly around 20–22°C amid stable southwesterly flow and no significant frontal systems. This aligns with early-August climatology, where highs average near 20–21°C and daily variability rarely exceeds 2–3°C absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model runs exhibit modest spread tied to possible convective timing or cloud cover, keeping warmer or cooler outliers below 10% probability. Trader consensus, with 22°C leading at 45% implied probability followed by 21°C at 26.5%, reflects this narrow forecast range and upcoming daily updates that could refine peak heating estimates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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