Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates the highest temperature in Paris on August 3 will most likely fall between 34–36 °C, reflecting a warm air mass that has persisted since late July heat-wave conditions. High-pressure subsidence and southerly flow have supported daytime maxima near or above seasonal norms, though model runs show modest cooling potential if Atlantic moisture arrives earlier than expected. Ensemble spread remains narrow for this short lead time, concentrating trader probability on the 35 °C outcome at 37.5 % while assigning lower weight to outliers above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Updated model cycles and official briefings through August 2 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のパリの最高気温は？
8月3日のパリの最高気温は？
35°C 38%
36°C 26%
34°C 20%
37°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
32°C or below
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
20%
35°C
38%
36°C
26%
37°C
12%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
36°C 26%
34°C 20%
37°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
32°C or below
$0 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
8%
34°C
$20 Vol.
20%
35°C
$32 Vol.
38%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C
$0 Vol.
12%
38°C
$0 Vol.
5%
39°C
$10 Vol.
1%
40°C
$20 Vol.
2%
41°C
$0 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates the highest temperature in Paris on August 3 will most likely fall between 34–36 °C, reflecting a warm air mass that has persisted since late July heat-wave conditions. High-pressure subsidence and southerly flow have supported daytime maxima near or above seasonal norms, though model runs show modest cooling potential if Atlantic moisture arrives earlier than expected. Ensemble spread remains narrow for this short lead time, concentrating trader probability on the 35 °C outcome at 37.5 % while assigning lower weight to outliers above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Updated model cycles and official briefings through August 2 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$82終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates the highest temperature in Paris on August 3 will most likely fall between 34–36 °C, reflecting a warm air mass that has persisted since late July heat-wave conditions. High-pressure subsidence and southerly flow have supported daytime maxima near or above seasonal norms, though model runs show modest cooling potential if Atlantic moisture arrives earlier than expected. Ensemble spread remains narrow for this short lead time, concentrating trader probability on the 35 °C outcome at 37.5 % while assigning lower weight to outliers above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Updated model cycles and official briefings through August 2 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$82終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates the highest temperature in Paris on August 3 will most likely fall between 34–36 °C, reflecting a warm air mass that has persisted since late July heat-wave conditions. High-pressure subsidence and southerly flow have supported daytime maxima near or above seasonal norms, though model runs show modest cooling potential if Atlantic moisture arrives earlier than expected. Ensemble spread remains narrow for this short lead time, concentrating trader probability on the 35 °C outcome at 37.5 % while assigning lower weight to outliers above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Updated model cycles and official briefings through August 2 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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