Recent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のロンドンの最高気温は？
8月4日のロンドンの最高気温は？
29°C 39%
28°C 30%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
30%
29°C
39%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 39%
28°C 30%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
25°C or below
$181 Vol.
1%
26°C
$147 Vol.
3%
27°C
$229 Vol.
20%
28°C
$231 Vol.
30%
29°C
$698 Vol.
39%
30°C
$111 Vol.
10%
31°C
$111 Vol.
2%
32°C
$32 Vol.
1%
33°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$2,136終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,136終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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