Singapore's equatorial climate typically delivers afternoon highs near 31°C in early August, but an emerging El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is driving warmer, drier conditions that support elevated maxima. Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA and meteorological services currently project 32–34°C on August 2 amid afternoon thundery showers that may cap peak readings, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 32°C and 33°C. Recent model runs and climatological analogs indicate limited potential for 34°C+ absent suppressed convection, while historical data show such outliers remain infrequent even during enhanced monsoon periods. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance and regional sea-surface temperature anomalies as the dominant near-term drivers ahead of the daily official observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
32°C 50%
33°C 32%
31°C 18%
30°C 3%
$11,227 Vol.
$11,227 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
50%
33°C
32%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 32%
31°C 18%
30°C 3%
$11,227 Vol.
$11,227 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
50%
33°C
32%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore's equatorial climate typically delivers afternoon highs near 31°C in early August, but an emerging El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is driving warmer, drier conditions that support elevated maxima. Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA and meteorological services currently project 32–34°C on August 2 amid afternoon thundery showers that may cap peak readings, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 32°C and 33°C. Recent model runs and climatological analogs indicate limited potential for 34°C+ absent suppressed convection, while historical data show such outliers remain infrequent even during enhanced monsoon periods. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance and regional sea-surface temperature anomalies as the dominant near-term drivers ahead of the daily official observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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