Recent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月2日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
13°C 56%
12°C 34%
14°C 10%
11°C 4%
新規
$15,005 Vol.
新規
$15,005 Vol.
2026/08/02
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
34%
13°C
56%
14°C
10%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 34%
14°C 10%
11°C 4%
新規
$15,005 Vol.
新規
$15,005 Vol.
2026/08/02
6°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,407 Vol.
4%
12°C
$2,926 Vol.
34%
13°C
$2,757 Vol.
56%
14°C
$2,379 Vol.
10%
15°C
$1,433 Vol.
2%
16°C or higher
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$15,005終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$15,005終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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