**Persistent above-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by El Niño conditions and JMA seasonal outlooks, position 34°C as the modal outcome for Tokyo’s August 2 high.** Long-range guidance from sources like AccuWeather shows daily August maxima commonly spanning 28.5–36.4°C, with early-month peaks frequently reaching the mid-30s amid high humidity. Recent late-July heatwave conditions, including multiple days above 35°C, have reinforced trader expectations for continued elevated readings into early August, though possible cloud cover or showers noted in extended forecasts could modestly cap the daily maximum. Historical climatology places typical early-August highs near 31–32°C, making the 34–35°C cluster the current market consensus while leaving room for model updates closer to the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日の東京の最高気温は？
8月2日の東京の最高気温は？
34°C 40%
35°C 25%
33°C 24%
36°C 8%
新規
$12,165 Vol.
新規
$12,165 Vol.
2026/08/02
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
24%
34°C
40%
35°C
25%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 40%
35°C 25%
33°C 24%
36°C 8%
新規
$12,165 Vol.
新規
$12,165 Vol.
2026/08/02
30°C or below
$1,790 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,635 Vol.
2%
32°C
$377 Vol.
5%
33°C
$1,771 Vol.
24%
34°C
$1,005 Vol.
40%
35°C
$881 Vol.
25%
36°C
$731 Vol.
8%
37°C
$1,100 Vol.
2%
38°C
$1,490 Vol.
1%
39°C
$522 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$862 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent above-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by El Niño conditions and JMA seasonal outlooks, position 34°C as the modal outcome for Tokyo’s August 2 high.** Long-range guidance from sources like AccuWeather shows daily August maxima commonly spanning 28.5–36.4°C, with early-month peaks frequently reaching the mid-30s amid high humidity. Recent late-July heatwave conditions, including multiple days above 35°C, have reinforced trader expectations for continued elevated readings into early August, though possible cloud cover or showers noted in extended forecasts could modestly cap the daily maximum. Historical climatology places typical early-August highs near 31–32°C, making the 34–35°C cluster the current market consensus while leaving room for model updates closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$12,165終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent above-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by El Niño conditions and JMA seasonal outlooks, position 34°C as the modal outcome for Tokyo’s August 2 high.** Long-range guidance from sources like AccuWeather shows daily August maxima commonly spanning 28.5–36.4°C, with early-month peaks frequently reaching the mid-30s amid high humidity. Recent late-July heatwave conditions, including multiple days above 35°C, have reinforced trader expectations for continued elevated readings into early August, though possible cloud cover or showers noted in extended forecasts could modestly cap the daily maximum. Historical climatology places typical early-August highs near 31–32°C, making the 34–35°C cluster the current market consensus while leaving room for model updates closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,165終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Persistent above-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by El Niño conditions and JMA seasonal outlooks, position 34°C as the modal outcome for Tokyo’s August 2 high.** Long-range guidance from sources like AccuWeather shows daily August maxima commonly spanning 28.5–36.4°C, with early-month peaks frequently reaching the mid-30s amid high humidity. Recent late-July heatwave conditions, including multiple days above 35°C, have reinforced trader expectations for continued elevated readings into early August, though possible cloud cover or showers noted in extended forecasts could modestly cap the daily maximum. Historical climatology places typical early-August highs near 31–32°C, making the 34–35°C cluster the current market consensus while leaving room for model updates closer to the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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