Recent monsoon influences, including increased cloud cover, humidity from the Arabian Sea, and scattered rainfall potential, are moderating daytime maxima in Karachi toward the historical early-August average of 31–33°C. Official long-range guidance and short-term models from regional meteorological agencies show highs likely peaking between 30–34°C on August 4, with urban heat-island effects and any breaks in cloud cover able to push readings slightly higher. Traders have concentrated probability on 33°C and 34°C because these outcomes align with both climatological baselines and the latest consensus that rain chances will limit extreme heat while still allowing modest warming above recent cooler spells. Updated forecasts through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied odds if model runs diverge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のカラチの最高気温は?
33℃ 42%
34℃ 31%
32℃ 21%
35℃ 5%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32℃
21%
33℃
42%
34℃
31%
35℃
5%
36°C
3%
37℃以上
1%
33℃ 42%
34℃ 31%
32℃ 21%
35℃ 5%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32℃
21%
33℃
42%
34℃
31%
35℃
5%
36°C
3%
37℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon influences, including increased cloud cover, humidity from the Arabian Sea, and scattered rainfall potential, are moderating daytime maxima in Karachi toward the historical early-August average of 31–33°C. Official long-range guidance and short-term models from regional meteorological agencies show highs likely peaking between 30–34°C on August 4, with urban heat-island effects and any breaks in cloud cover able to push readings slightly higher. Traders have concentrated probability on 33°C and 34°C because these outcomes align with both climatological baselines and the latest consensus that rain chances will limit extreme heat while still allowing modest warming above recent cooler spells. Updated forecasts through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied odds if model runs diverge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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