Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24 most likely between 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies typical of late summer. Nighttime radiative cooling will be moderated by warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a light westerly sea breeze, limiting how far surface air cools after sunset. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering of market probabilities around these values, with slight differences hinging on exact timing of any thin high clouds or minor wind shifts that could alter the nocturnal boundary layer. Historical August lows average near 23–25°C, so traders weigh model consensus against the small chance of enhanced cooling if winds drop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
23°C 34%
24°C 29%
22°C 28%
25°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
34%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 29%
22°C 28%
25°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$145 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
28%
23°C
$0 Vol.
34%
24°C
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$20 Vol.
3%
28°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$268 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24 most likely between 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies typical of late summer. Nighttime radiative cooling will be moderated by warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a light westerly sea breeze, limiting how far surface air cools after sunset. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering of market probabilities around these values, with slight differences hinging on exact timing of any thin high clouds or minor wind shifts that could alter the nocturnal boundary layer. Historical August lows average near 23–25°C, so traders weigh model consensus against the small chance of enhanced cooling if winds drop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$643End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24 most likely between 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies typical of late summer. Nighttime radiative cooling will be moderated by warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a light westerly sea breeze, limiting how far surface air cools after sunset. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering of market probabilities around these values, with slight differences hinging on exact timing of any thin high clouds or minor wind shifts that could alter the nocturnal boundary layer. Historical August lows average near 23–25°C, so traders weigh model consensus against the small chance of enhanced cooling if winds drop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$643End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24 most likely between 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies typical of late summer. Nighttime radiative cooling will be moderated by warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a light westerly sea breeze, limiting how far surface air cools after sunset. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering of market probabilities around these values, with slight differences hinging on exact timing of any thin high clouds or minor wind shifts that could alter the nocturnal boundary layer. Historical August lows average near 23–25°C, so traders weigh model consensus against the small chance of enhanced cooling if winds drop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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