Forecast models from agencies including NOAA and local Israeli meteorological services, along with real-time observations, converge on a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv for August 23, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and humidity near 60%. This aligns with August climatology where highs typically reach 31–33°C, and current data show temperatures peaking in that narrow range without significant deviation from ensemble guidance. The 99.9% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this strong consensus backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment. An unexpected late surge above 33°C or localized cooling from coastal effects could still shift the recorded high, though model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$15,277 Vol.
$15,277 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$15,277 Vol.
$15,277 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
$731 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,019 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,083 Vol.
100%
33°C
$3,084 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,584 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$653 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$905 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including NOAA and local Israeli meteorological services, along with real-time observations, converge on a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv for August 23, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and humidity near 60%. This aligns with August climatology where highs typically reach 31–33°C, and current data show temperatures peaking in that narrow range without significant deviation from ensemble guidance. The 99.9% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this strong consensus backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment. An unexpected late surge above 33°C or localized cooling from coastal effects could still shift the recorded high, though model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,277End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including NOAA and local Israeli meteorological services, along with real-time observations, converge on a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv for August 23, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and humidity near 60%. This aligns with August climatology where highs typically reach 31–33°C, and current data show temperatures peaking in that narrow range without significant deviation from ensemble guidance. The 99.9% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this strong consensus backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment. An unexpected late surge above 33°C or localized cooling from coastal effects could still shift the recorded high, though model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,277End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including NOAA and local Israeli meteorological services, along with real-time observations, converge on a daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv for August 23, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and humidity near 60%. This aligns with August climatology where highs typically reach 31–33°C, and current data show temperatures peaking in that narrow range without significant deviation from ensemble guidance. The 99.9% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this strong consensus backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment. An unexpected late surge above 33°C or localized cooling from coastal effects could still shift the recorded high, though model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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