Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
20°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,888 Vol.
$19,888 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,888 Vol.
$19,888 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$3,243 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,309 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,270 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$1,229 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,612 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,987 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,902 Vol.
No
25°C
$233 Vol.
No
26°C
$233 Vol.
No
27°C
$638 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$233 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$19,888End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,888End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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