**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for Busan on August 25 under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market-implied odds (44% each) for those exact minima.** Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover are enabling efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while the coastal marine influence and moderate humidity limit further drops below historical August averages of roughly 24°C. Light southwesterly winds (3–6 mph) reduce mixing, keeping the boundary layer stable and allowing temperatures to settle close to the dew point. Minor model differences in exact wind speed or residual moisture explain the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C outcomes; stronger onshore flow or any unexpected low-level clouds could nudge the minimum slightly higher, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower end. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 25?
30°C or higher 60%
20°C or below 59%
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
59%
21°C
3%
22°C
26%
23°C
21%
24°C
36%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
38%
28°C
36%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
60%
30°C or higher 60%
20°C or below 59%
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$199 Vol.
59%
21°C
$135 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$6 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
36%
25°C
$0 Vol.
44%
26°C
$0 Vol.
44%
27°C
$0 Vol.
38%
28°C
$0 Vol.
36%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$150 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for Busan on August 25 under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market-implied odds (44% each) for those exact minima.** Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover are enabling efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while the coastal marine influence and moderate humidity limit further drops below historical August averages of roughly 24°C. Light southwesterly winds (3–6 mph) reduce mixing, keeping the boundary layer stable and allowing temperatures to settle close to the dew point. Minor model differences in exact wind speed or residual moisture explain the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C outcomes; stronger onshore flow or any unexpected low-level clouds could nudge the minimum slightly higher, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower end. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$495End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for Busan on August 25 under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market-implied odds (44% each) for those exact minima.** Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover are enabling efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while the coastal marine influence and moderate humidity limit further drops below historical August averages of roughly 24°C. Light southwesterly winds (3–6 mph) reduce mixing, keeping the boundary layer stable and allowing temperatures to settle close to the dew point. Minor model differences in exact wind speed or residual moisture explain the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C outcomes; stronger onshore flow or any unexpected low-level clouds could nudge the minimum slightly higher, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower end. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$495End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for Busan on August 25 under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market-implied odds (44% each) for those exact minima.** Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover are enabling efficient radiative cooling after sunset, while the coastal marine influence and moderate humidity limit further drops below historical August averages of roughly 24°C. Light southwesterly winds (3–6 mph) reduce mixing, keeping the boundary layer stable and allowing temperatures to settle close to the dew point. Minor model differences in exact wind speed or residual moisture explain the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C outcomes; stronger onshore flow or any unexpected low-level clouds could nudge the minimum slightly higher, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower end. Updated KMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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