Recent short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to overnight lows in Busan around 24–26°C for August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer maritime conditions along the southeastern coast. Persistent high humidity and light winds limit radiative cooling overnight, while any residual cloud cover from upstream systems or sea breezes from the East Sea further moderates minimum temperatures. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–25°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly in the mid-20s without strong signals for extremes. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs through the evening of August 23 will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 24?
25°C 29%
23°C 28%
24°C 28%
27°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
16%
23°C
28%
24°C
28%
25°C
29%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C or higher
5%
25°C 29%
23°C 28%
24°C 28%
27°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$512 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$108 Vol.
2%
22°C
$52 Vol.
16%
23°C
$2 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$20 Vol.
29%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to overnight lows in Busan around 24–26°C for August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer maritime conditions along the southeastern coast. Persistent high humidity and light winds limit radiative cooling overnight, while any residual cloud cover from upstream systems or sea breezes from the East Sea further moderates minimum temperatures. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–25°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly in the mid-20s without strong signals for extremes. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs through the evening of August 23 will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$704End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to overnight lows in Busan around 24–26°C for August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer maritime conditions along the southeastern coast. Persistent high humidity and light winds limit radiative cooling overnight, while any residual cloud cover from upstream systems or sea breezes from the East Sea further moderates minimum temperatures. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–25°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly in the mid-20s without strong signals for extremes. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs through the evening of August 23 will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$704End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to overnight lows in Busan around 24–26°C for August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer maritime conditions along the southeastern coast. Persistent high humidity and light winds limit radiative cooling overnight, while any residual cloud cover from upstream systems or sea breezes from the East Sea further moderates minimum temperatures. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–25°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly in the mid-20s without strong signals for extremes. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs through the evening of August 23 will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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