Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions for Busan on August 24, with daytime highs centered around 32°C amid typical late-summer humidity from the North Pacific High. This baseline, combined with coastal sea breezes that often cap extremes relative to inland areas, positions 34–36°C as the most probable range, explaining the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent observations of sustained 30–33°C readings support trader focus on modest intensification potential under clear skies, while low probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the low likelihood of extreme heat advection or minimal cloud cover. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and insolation details ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 24?
35°C 46%
34°C 24%
36°C 21%
33°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
24%
35°C
46%
36°C
21%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 46%
34°C 24%
36°C 21%
33°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
$48 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$126 Vol.
1%
30°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$126 Vol.
1%
32°C
$286 Vol.
1%
33°C
$199 Vol.
5%
34°C
$847 Vol.
24%
35°C
$905 Vol.
46%
36°C
$1,616 Vol.
21%
37°C
$827 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$711 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions for Busan on August 24, with daytime highs centered around 32°C amid typical late-summer humidity from the North Pacific High. This baseline, combined with coastal sea breezes that often cap extremes relative to inland areas, positions 34–36°C as the most probable range, explaining the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent observations of sustained 30–33°C readings support trader focus on modest intensification potential under clear skies, while low probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the low likelihood of extreme heat advection or minimal cloud cover. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and insolation details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,816End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions for Busan on August 24, with daytime highs centered around 32°C amid typical late-summer humidity from the North Pacific High. This baseline, combined with coastal sea breezes that often cap extremes relative to inland areas, positions 34–36°C as the most probable range, explaining the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent observations of sustained 30–33°C readings support trader focus on modest intensification potential under clear skies, while low probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the low likelihood of extreme heat advection or minimal cloud cover. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and insolation details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,816End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions for Busan on August 24, with daytime highs centered around 32°C amid typical late-summer humidity from the North Pacific High. This baseline, combined with coastal sea breezes that often cap extremes relative to inland areas, positions 34–36°C as the most probable range, explaining the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent observations of sustained 30–33°C readings support trader focus on modest intensification potential under clear skies, while low probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the low likelihood of extreme heat advection or minimal cloud cover. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and insolation details ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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