Current forecasts for Jeddah on August 24 point to a daily maximum near 37–38°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. August climatology in this Red Sea coastal city features persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and daytime highs averaging 37–38°C, moderated slightly by sea breezes but amplified by high humidity. Recent model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and BBC Weather shows no significant deviation from these norms, with limited day-to-day variability expected absent unusual steering patterns or moisture influx. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range around the long-term mean against minor forecast uncertainty in peak timing and measurement precision at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 24?
38°C 42%
37°C 31%
39°C 19%
36°C 6%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C
31%
38°C
42%
39°C
19%
40°C or higher
5%
38°C 42%
37°C 31%
39°C 19%
36°C 6%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C
31%
38°C
42%
39°C
19%
40°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Jeddah on August 24 point to a daily maximum near 37–38°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. August climatology in this Red Sea coastal city features persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and daytime highs averaging 37–38°C, moderated slightly by sea breezes but amplified by high humidity. Recent model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and BBC Weather shows no significant deviation from these norms, with limited day-to-day variability expected absent unusual steering patterns or moisture influx. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range around the long-term mean against minor forecast uncertainty in peak timing and measurement precision at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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