Persistent summer heat across the Red Sea coast keeps Jeddah’s nighttime minima elevated, with climatological averages near 28–29°C and 2026 forecasts showing overnight lows of 29–32°C (84–89°F) amid clear skies and light winds. The city’s maritime setting limits radiative cooling, while high humidity and urban heat retention sustain elevated temperatures through the early morning hours. No significant synoptic features—such as upper-level troughs or cooler northerly flow—are indicated in current model guidance for August 24, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C or higher (42%) and 31°C (27.5%). These probabilities reflect trader consensus on the low likelihood of meaningful nocturnal cooling before the next diurnal cycle begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 24?
33°C or higher 84%
31°C 37%
29°C 36%
30°C 20%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
9%
28°C
18%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
84%
33°C or higher 84%
31°C 37%
29°C 36%
30°C 20%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
9%
28°C
18%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat across the Red Sea coast keeps Jeddah’s nighttime minima elevated, with climatological averages near 28–29°C and 2026 forecasts showing overnight lows of 29–32°C (84–89°F) amid clear skies and light winds. The city’s maritime setting limits radiative cooling, while high humidity and urban heat retention sustain elevated temperatures through the early morning hours. No significant synoptic features—such as upper-level troughs or cooler northerly flow—are indicated in current model guidance for August 24, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C or higher (42%) and 31°C (27.5%). These probabilities reflect trader consensus on the low likelihood of meaningful nocturnal cooling before the next diurnal cycle begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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