**National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 23 project a daytime high near 93°F under partly sunny skies, with only a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that are unlikely to significantly suppress peak readings.** Multiple model runs and agency briefings converge on lower-to-mid 90s values, consistent with recent observed maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s amid typical late-summer moisture and weak steering flow. This strong scientific consensus from official sources underpins the market’s overwhelming 97% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin. Only an earlier or more widespread convective outbreak capable of cutting insolation and triggering rapid cooling could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range before the daily maximum is finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 23?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 23?
92-93°F 97%
94-95°F 3%
96-97°F <1%
98°F or higher <1%
$21,349 Vol.
$21,349 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
97%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 97%
94-95°F 3%
96-97°F <1%
98°F or higher <1%
$21,349 Vol.
$21,349 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$563 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$879 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,273 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,257 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,656 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,734 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$4,973 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$3,977 Vol.
97%
94-95°F
$1,732 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$1,227 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 23 project a daytime high near 93°F under partly sunny skies, with only a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that are unlikely to significantly suppress peak readings.** Multiple model runs and agency briefings converge on lower-to-mid 90s values, consistent with recent observed maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s amid typical late-summer moisture and weak steering flow. This strong scientific consensus from official sources underpins the market’s overwhelming 97% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin. Only an earlier or more widespread convective outbreak capable of cutting insolation and triggering rapid cooling could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range before the daily maximum is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$21,349End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 23 project a daytime high near 93°F under partly sunny skies, with only a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that are unlikely to significantly suppress peak readings.** Multiple model runs and agency briefings converge on lower-to-mid 90s values, consistent with recent observed maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s amid typical late-summer moisture and weak steering flow. This strong scientific consensus from official sources underpins the market’s overwhelming 97% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin. Only an earlier or more widespread convective outbreak capable of cutting insolation and triggering rapid cooling could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range before the daily maximum is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,349End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 23 project a daytime high near 93°F under partly sunny skies, with only a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that are unlikely to significantly suppress peak readings.** Multiple model runs and agency briefings converge on lower-to-mid 90s values, consistent with recent observed maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s amid typical late-summer moisture and weak steering flow. This strong scientific consensus from official sources underpins the market’s overwhelming 97% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin. Only an earlier or more widespread convective outbreak capable of cutting insolation and triggering rapid cooling could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range before the daily maximum is finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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